Wienerberger AG closed at 724.8 today. Down 2.48% from open. That's not the interesting part.
The Stochastic K% hit 89.7. That's a strong sell signal — the kind that shows up when a stock's been pushed too far, too fast. Overbought territory. Textbook setup for a pullback.
The Problem With That Reading
MACD Level sits at 9.6188 — strong buy. Two indicators looking at the same price action, giving opposite signals. One says dump it, the other says load up. I've seen this before. Usually means the market's confused, or you're early to a real move.
The 10-day EMA is 715.55. Price is above it. That's bullish short-term momentum. But the 200-day SMA is 737.03 — price is below that. Long-term trend says sell. You've got three different timeframes telling three different stories.
Here's what I think: the Stochastic reading is reacting to the bounce off the 1-month low of 665.2. That's a 9% climb in a short window. Fast enough to trigger an overbought signal. But MACD is measuring something else — it's catching the shift in momentum after a six-month decline of 8.25%.
Camarilla Pivot Points Say What Matters
R1 resistance: 753.25. S1 support: 749.55. Pivot: 751.4. Those levels are tight. Really tight. That's high volatility compressed into a narrow band. ATR% at 2.16 confirms it — this thing's moving.
Price is currently 724.8. That's 28 points below S1. If you're watching intraday action, 749.55 is the line. Break above that and you're testing 751.4, then 753.25. Fail there and you're back toward 715, maybe lower.
I pulled data through the Document — Stock Api and the pivot structure tells me more than the oscillators. When support and resistance cluster this close, it means the next move is going to be sharp. One way or the other.
All-Time High vs Current Price
WIE hit 908.4 at some point. Today it's 724.8. That's a 20% drawdown from peak. Not catastrophic, but enough to hurt if you bought at the top. Six-month performance is negative. One-month low was 665.2 — we're 60 points above that now.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | 724.8 |
| All-Time High | 908.4 |
| 1M Low | 665.2 |
| Distance from ATH | -20.2% |
| Distance from 1M Low | +9.0% |
The pattern here is a recovery attempt after a sharp drop. The stock fell hard, bounced fast, and now it's stalling. That's where the Stochastic reading comes from — the bounce ran out of steam.
Buy Signal With Low Confidence
The overall signal is "Buy" but confidence is "Low". Trend is "Weak". Price action is "Bullish". Those four data points don't add up cleanly. A buy signal with low confidence means the model sees something, but it's not screaming conviction.
Weak trend plus bullish price action is the setup I've lost money on before. You get a few good days, think you're early to a reversal, then it rolls over. The confidence rating is doing the work here — it's telling you not to bet the farm.
I checked the Pricing to see what else I could pull for context. The technical setup is clear enough. What's missing is the fundamental backdrop — earnings, guidance, sector rotation. Without that, you're trading price action blind.
What I'd Do With This Setup
If I owned it, I'd hold through 715. Below that, I'm out. The EMA 10 is sitting there as the last line of short-term support. If that breaks, the next stop is probably 665 again.
If I didn't own it and wanted in, I'd wait for a clean break above 753. That's R1. Get above that with volume and you've got confirmation the bounce is real. Buying now at 724 is hoping you catch the move before it happens. Maybe you do. Maybe you don't.
The Stochastic K% at 89.7 is the number that keeps me cautious. I've seen stocks roll over hard from those levels. But I've also seen them rip higher when the broader trend is strong. That's the problem with oscillators — they work until they don't.
Czech Market Context
WIE trades on the Prague exchange. Not a lot of liquidity compared to US or Western European names. That matters when you're trying to exit fast. The 2.16% ATR tells you moves can be sharp, but the spread and slippage can hurt.
I don't trade Czech stocks often. When I do, I keep positions smaller than I would in deeper markets. The data from FCS API gives me the technical picture, but the execution risk is higher. You can't ignore that.
The February 16, 2026 session showed a 2.48% drop from open to close. That's not unusual given the volatility profile. But it does reinforce the point — this stock moves. If you're in, you need to
